Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.336138 0.399071 0.469419 0.553722 0.651835 0.762246 0.895735
2025-01-12 0.238369 0.318001 0.416727 0.547440 0.715197 0.922430 1.196892
2025-01-19 0.185726 0.270307 0.383516 0.544720 0.766696 1.059670 1.473301
2025-01-26 0.158288 0.247480 0.374571 0.566512 0.846120 1.235012 1.812313
2025-02-02 0.148413 0.246467 0.393701 0.627194 0.983460 1.500619 2.300178
2025-02-09 0.131808 0.231680 0.389181 0.650557 1.066774 1.695082 2.703095
2025-02-16 0.112320 0.208558 0.367653 0.643364 1.100543 1.816596 3.005857
2025-02-23 0.093951 0.183986 0.339754 0.621149 1.106086 1.892572 3.242088
2025-03-02 0.077952 0.160779 0.310537 0.592115 1.095600 1.939704 3.433464
2025-03-09 0.071415 0.154063 0.309289 0.611332 1.168649 2.129647 3.875118
2025-03-16 0.060690 0.137333 0.287189 0.589499 1.165964 2.189509 4.099455
2025-03-23 0.055302 0.130557 0.283024 0.600507 1.223554 2.358332 4.525928
2025-03-30 0.049980 0.123384 0.277755 0.610030 1.281873 2.538182 4.996451
2025-04-06 0.043822 0.113335 0.265290 0.603723 1.309300 2.664641 5.382474
2025-04-13 0.038813 0.105002 0.255180 0.600771 1.342606 2.804387 5.804307
2025-04-20 0.036413 0.102520 0.257526 0.624626 1.432995 3.061638 6.471822
2025-04-27 0.037050 0.107774 0.278107 0.691017 1.619201 3.522958 7.573999
2025-05-04 0.034908 0.105430 0.280566 0.716567 1.719896 3.819880 8.370656
2025-05-11 0.031071 0.097815 0.269263 0.708701 1.746125 3.965783 8.871811
2025-05-18 0.026878 0.088379 0.252035 0.684405 1.732516 4.026506 9.200772
2025-05-25 0.022904 0.078756 0.232834 0.652644 1.697936 4.038699 9.427249
2025-06-01 0.021650 0.077106 0.234473 0.673667 1.790199 4.335122 10.286522
2025-06-08 0.018773 0.069777 0.219539 0.649782 1.771191 4.381885 10.602686